Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Glenmere Eviction Risk: Lower , Dunn Loring
Tract 51059460504 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,374 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 51059460504 sits in the Glenmere area of Dunn Loring, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.5/10. It is home to 4,374 residents. The voucher gap is 46.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,286
Renter share24.1%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$219,940
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dunn Loring and the region
Centroid at 38.9018, -77.2303 · click any tract to drill in
Why Glenmere scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dunn Loring
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,395 rent vs county FMR
9.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dunn Loring
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dunn Loring
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dunn Loring
3.5
How Glenmere compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Glenmere. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 4.1%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 11.3%Frequent mental distress
- 19.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Glenmere
What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.7/10. Cost burden runs 27% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.
Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.4/10.
SNAP participation runs 4.1% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 5.8% against 14.2% nationally.
It sits 0.8 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3. Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $3,395, close to the Dunn Loring average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059460504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059460504?
Census tract 51059460504 in the Glenmere neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059460504?
Median gross rent is $3,395/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059460504?
4.4% of residents in tract 51059460504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,374.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059460504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 11th, minority 70th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 51059460504 considered part of Glenmere?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059460504 fall within Glenmere (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51059460504 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51059460504 compare to Dunn Loring overall?
Tract 51059460504 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Dunn Loring at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dunn Loring; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dunn Loring
Top eight tracts in Dunn Loring ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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