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Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Stonewall Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Dunn Loring

Tract 51059460600 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,121 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 3.4/10, tract 51059460600 in the Stonewall Manor area of Dunn Loring, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 9% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,310
Renter share9.4%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$233,182

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Stonewall Manor
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Dunn Loring
Very Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#243 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Very Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#1,505 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dunn Loring and the region

Centroid at 38.8882, -77.2345 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stonewall Manor scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dunn Loring
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dunn Loring
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dunn Loring
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dunn Loring
3.5

How Stonewall Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stonewall Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 460600Dunn Loring: 4.04.0Dunn Loringparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 1.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.3%Peak (2011)
  • 2Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594606002011: 3 filings (2.31/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 2 filings (1.54/100 renter HHs)2016: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Stonewall Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stonewall Manor

The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.4/10.

SNAP participation runs 3.4% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 5.2% against 14.2% nationally.

Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. The filing record is not thin: 5 evictions over 2 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2011 at 2.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059460600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059460600?

Census tract 51059460600 in the Stonewall Manor neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059460600?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059460600?

3.1% of residents in tract 51059460600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,121.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059460600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 14th, minority 52th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 51059460600 considered part of Stonewall Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059460600 fall within Stonewall Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059460600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51059460600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.93% of renter households, peaking at 2.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059460600 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059460600 compare to Dunn Loring overall?

Tract 51059460600 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Dunn Loring at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dunn Loring; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dunn Loring

Top eight tracts in Dunn Loring ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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