Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Middleridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Kings Park West
Tract 51059430101 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,595 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 51059430101 covers part of the Middleridge area of Kings Park West, VA, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, 100% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units1,520
Renter share2.1%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$204,037
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kings Park West and the region
Centroid at 38.8097, -77.3166 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middleridge scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kings Park West
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,571 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kings Park West
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kings Park West
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kings Park West
6.5
How Middleridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4Total filings over 3 yrs
- 1.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.0%Peak (2016)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.2%Food insecurity
- 3.1%SNAP enrollment
- 3.6%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 10.9%Frequent mental distress
- 20.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middleridge
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Food insecurity runs 5.2% against 17.8% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.4/10. Housing insecurity runs 4.9% against 14.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 4 evictions over 3 years of observation. Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 2% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.6/10. Against average income of $204,037, annual rent is just 15%.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059430101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059430101?
Census tract 51059430101 in the Middleridge neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059430101?
Median gross rent is $2,571/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 100% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059430101?
4.0% of residents in tract 51059430101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,595.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059430101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 31th, minority 41th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 51059430101 considered part of Middleridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059430101 fall within Middleridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059430101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 51059430101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.50% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059430101 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059430101 compare to Kings Park West overall?
Tract 51059430101 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Kings Park West at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kings Park West; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kings Park West
Top eight tracts in Kings Park West ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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