Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Colony Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Fairfax Station
Tract 51059430201 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,100 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
In the Colony Park area of Fairfax Station, census tract 51059430201 scores $1/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
65% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,596 monthly, set against $157,625 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 8% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,398
Renter share7.6%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$157,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fairfax Station and the region
Centroid at 38.8083, -77.2964 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colony Park scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fairfax Station
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,596 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fairfax Station
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fairfax Station
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fairfax Station
6.5
How Colony Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 22Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.5%Peak (2011)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Colony Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.7%Food insecurity
- 4.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 12.3%Frequent mental distress
- 21.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Colony Park
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fairfax eviction risk Station, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 22 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 2.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.5% of renter households in 2011.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059430201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059430201?
Census tract 51059430201 in the Colony Park neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059430201?
Median gross rent is $2,596/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059430201?
3.9% of residents in tract 51059430201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,100.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059430201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 40th, minority 59th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 51059430201 considered part of Colony Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059430201 fall within Colony Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059430201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059430201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.73% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059430201 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059430201 compare to Fairfax Station overall?
Tract 51059430201 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Fairfax Station at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fairfax eviction risk Station; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fairfax Station
Top eight tracts in Fairfax Station ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related