Ridgeview Eviction Risk: Lower , Rose Hill

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, local political climate reads 2.4/10.

Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.5/10. SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 24 eviction filings across 4 observed years.

The voucher gap is 13.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The worst year on record was 2016, when 7.5% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $181,042, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.