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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Iris Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Franklin Farm

Tract 51059481106 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,974 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 3.1/10, tract 51059481106 in the Iris Hills area of Franklin Farm, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 1% Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units1,857
Renter share1.2%
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate1.0%
Median income$230,177

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Iris Hills
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Franklin Farm
Very High
Within county
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#260 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Very Low
Within state
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#1,741 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Franklin Farm and the region

Centroid at 38.9242, -77.3832 · click any tract to drill in

Why Iris Hills scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Franklin Farm
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Franklin Farm
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Franklin Farm
2.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Franklin Farm
3.8

How Iris Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Iris Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.13.1This tracttract 481106Franklin Farm: 3.73.7Franklin Farmparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 0

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 1.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.4%Peak (2013)
  • 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594811062011: 2 filings (1.20/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 4 filings (2.40/100 renter HHs)2016: 2 filings (1.82/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Iris Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Iris Hills

Disability prevalence runs 19.3% against 31.5% nationally. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.4/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3.

Housing insecurity runs 4.9% against 14.2% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.2/10.

The filing record is not thin: 8 evictions over 3 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2013 at 2.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 1% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059481106

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059481106?

Census tract 51059481106 in the Iris Hills neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059481106?

1.0% of residents in tract 51059481106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,974.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059481106?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 12th, minority 51th, housing 0th.
Q4

Is tract 51059481106 considered part of Iris Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059481106 fall within Iris Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059481106?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 51059481106 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.81% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 51059481106 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51059481106 compare to Franklin Farm overall?

Tract 51059481106 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Franklin Farm at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Franklin Farm; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Franklin Farm

Top eight tracts in Franklin Farm ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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