Discovery Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Floris

Disability prevalence runs 18.0% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.4/10. SNAP participation runs 3.2% against 15.2% nationally.

Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 3 evictions over 1 years of observation. The voucher gap is 14.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 2.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Against average income of $205,099, annual rent is just 16%. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.