Crystal Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Braddock
Tract 51059491705 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,244 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 51059491705 covers part of the Crystal Springs area of Fair Lakes, VA, and scores 3.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,244. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Braddock and the region
Centroid at 38.8474, -77.3902 · click any tract to drill in
Why Crystal Springs scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Crystal Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5Total filings over 4 yrs
- 1.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.3%Peak (2011)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Crystal Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.8%Food insecurity
- 4.1%SNAP enrollment
- 4.3%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 10.9%Frequent mental distress
- 18.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Crystal Springs
Average gross rent is $3,501, 45% above the Fair Lakes average. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10.
Food insecurity runs 7.8% against 17.8% nationally. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 5 evictions over 4 years of observation.
It sits 0.7 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 3.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51059491705
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491705?
What is the average rent in tract 51059491705?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491705?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491705?
Is tract 51059491705 considered part of Crystal Springs?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491705?
What share of households in tract 51059491705 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059491705 compare to Braddock overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Braddock
Top eight tracts in Braddock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.