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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Wessynton Eviction Risk: Lower , Mount Vernon

Tract 51059415900 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,208 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 51059415900 covers part of the Wessynton area of Mount Vernon, VA, and scores 3.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,208. 10% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Fairfax County average of 41.0%.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 7% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,136
Renter share7.3%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$178,804

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Wessynton
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Mount Vernon
Very Low
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#175 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Low
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#1,374 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mount Vernon and the region

Centroid at 38.7187, -77.0864 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wessynton scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mount Vernon
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,068 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mount Vernon
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mount Vernon
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mount Vernon
6.7

How Wessynton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Wessynton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 415900Mount Vernon: 4.14.1Mount Vernonparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 12Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 3.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.8%Peak (2012)
  • 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594159002011: 4 filings (3.85/100 renter HHs)2012: 5 filings (4.81/100 renter HHs)2013: 2 filings (1.92/100 renter HHs)2016: 1 filings (1.67/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wessynton

Average gross rent is $3,068, 89% above the Mount Vernon average. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10. The voucher gap is 32.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

SNAP participation runs 4.0% against 15.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 10%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Court records carry 12 eviction filings across 4 observed years.

Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2012 at 4.8% of renter households.

In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059415900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059415900?

Census tract 51059415900 in the Wessynton neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059415900?

Median gross rent is $3,068/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 10% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059415900?

4.1% of residents in tract 51059415900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,208.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059415900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 14th, minority 58th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 51059415900 considered part of Wessynton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059415900 fall within Wessynton (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059415900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059415900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.06% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059415900 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059415900 compare to Mount Vernon overall?

Tract 51059415900 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Mount Vernon at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mount Vernon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mount Vernon

Top eight tracts in Mount Vernon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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