Yacht Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mount Vernon
Tract 51059416100 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,824 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51059416100 covers part of the Yacht Haven area of Mount Vernon, VA, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,824. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Mount Vernon and the region
Centroid at 38.7048, -77.1168 · click any tract to drill in
Why Yacht Haven scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Yacht Haven compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 42Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.07%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.6%Peak (2012)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.8%Food insecurity
- 4.0%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 10.9%Frequent mental distress
- 22.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Yacht Haven
At $3,501 a month, rents run 116% over what the rest of Mount Vernon commands. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.3/10.
29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Fairfax County average of 41.0%. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10. SNAP participation runs 4.0% against 15.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 42 evictions over 4 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2012 at 11.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 8.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 51059416100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059416100?
What is the average rent in tract 51059416100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059416100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059416100?
Is tract 51059416100 considered part of Yacht Haven?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059416100?
What share of households in tract 51059416100 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059416100 compare to Mount Vernon overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Mount Vernon
Top eight tracts in Mount Vernon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.