Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Mount Vernon Manor Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51059416000 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,267 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Mount Vernon Manor in Mount Vernon is where census tract 51059416000 sits, home to 6,267 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 71% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,577 monthly, set against $106,250 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units2,236
Renter share49.8%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$106,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mount Vernon and the region
Centroid at 38.7203, -77.1062 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mount Vernon Manor scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mount Vernon
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,577 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mount Vernon
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mount Vernon
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mount Vernon
6.7
How Mount Vernon Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 434Total filings over 4 yrs
- 17.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.6%Peak (2011)
- 53Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 66% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.8%Food insecurity
- 10.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 27.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mount Vernon Manor
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mount Vernon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 434 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 17.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 25.6% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059416000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059416000?
Census tract 51059416000 in the Mount Vernon Manor neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059416000?
Median gross rent is $1,577/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059416000?
9.1% of residents in tract 51059416000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,267.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059416000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 76th, minority 74th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 51059416000 considered part of Mount Vernon Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059416000 fall within Mount Vernon Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059416000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 434 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059416000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.60% of renter households, peaking at 25.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059416000 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059416000 compare to Mount Vernon overall?
Tract 51059416000 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Mount Vernon at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mount Vernon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mount Vernon
Top eight tracts in Mount Vernon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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