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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Kecoughtan Eviction Risk: Moderate , Hampton

Tract 51650011300 · Hampton city, VA · pop 2,100 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51650011300 (the Kecoughtan neighborhood of Hampton, Virginia) comes in at 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 48% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,315 monthly, set against $52,471 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 58% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 29% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,023
Renter share58.3%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$52,471

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Kecoughtan
Very Low
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 36 tracts In Hampton
High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 36 tracts In Hampton city
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#181 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hampton and the region

Centroid at 37.0192, -76.3224 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kecoughtan scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Hampton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,315 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hampton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hampton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hampton
4.5

How Kecoughtan compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kecoughtan risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 011300Hampton: 4.34.3Hamptonparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 574Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 21.90%Avg annual filing rate
  • 29.2%Peak (2014)
  • 97Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 516500113002011: 83 filings (19.67/100 renter HHs)2012: 72 filings (17.06/100 renter HHs)2013: 88 filings (20.85/100 renter HHs)2014: 123 filings (29.15/100 renter HHs)2015: 111 filings (26.30/100 renter HHs)2016: 97 filings (18.34/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 17% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kecoughtan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kecoughtan

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hampton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hampton City County average of 4.9 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51650011300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51650011300?

Census tract 51650011300 in the Kecoughtan neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51650011300?

Median gross rent is $1,315/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51650011300?

23.4% of residents in tract 51650011300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,100.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51650011300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 79th, minority 78th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 51650011300 considered part of Kecoughtan?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51650011300 fall within Kecoughtan (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51650011300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 574 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51650011300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.90% of renter households, peaking at 29.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51650011300 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51650011300 compare to Hampton overall?

Tract 51650011300 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Hampton at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hampton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51650011300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hampton

Top eight tracts in Hampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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