Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Kecoughtan Eviction Risk: Moderate , Hampton
Tract 51650011400 · Hampton city, VA · pop 2,664 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 51650011400 covers part of the Kecoughtan area of Hampton, VA, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,664. Set annual rent against average income of $30,476 and the ratio lands at 55%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 48%
Owners 5%
Tract context
Occupied units118
Renter share94.9%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate35.9%
Median income$30,476
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hampton and the region
Centroid at 37.0226, -76.3332 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kecoughtan scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hampton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
35.9% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,403 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hampton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hampton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hampton
4.5
How Kecoughtan compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,013Total filings over 6 yrs
- 80.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 127.6%Peak (2016)
- 268Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 188% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kecoughtan. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.4%Housing insecurity
- 18.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.1%Food insecurity
- 33.8%SNAP enrollment
- 24.7%Transit barriers
- 10.5%No health insurance
- 29.1%Frequent mental distress
- 42.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kecoughtan
The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 95% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
The dominant input is economic stress at 9/10. The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
SNAP participation runs 33.8% against 15.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Hampton City average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,013 filings here across 6 tracked years.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.1/10. Filings peaked in 2016 at 127.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51650011400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51650011400?
Census tract 51650011400 in the Kecoughtan neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51650011400?
Median gross rent is $1,403/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51650011400?
35.9% of residents in tract 51650011400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,664.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51650011400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 1th, minority 85th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 51650011400 considered part of Kecoughtan?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51650011400 fall within Kecoughtan (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51650011400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,013 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51650011400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 80.40% of renter households, peaking at 127.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51650011400 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51650011400 compare to Hampton overall?
Tract 51650011400 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Hampton at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hampton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51650011400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hampton
Top eight tracts in Hampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Aberdeen Gardens
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Windsor Terrace
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Windsor Terrace
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Northampton
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kecoughtan
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kecoughtan
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pine Chapel Village
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Salters Creek
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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