Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Northampton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51650010309 · Hampton city, VA · pop 5,091 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 51650010309 in the Northampton area of Hampton, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,091 residents. The severe-burden share is 43%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,096
Renter share64.5%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate22.6%
Median income$53,080
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
97
th percentile
Very High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hampton and the region
Centroid at 37.0344, -76.4407 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northampton scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hampton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
22.6% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,408 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hampton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hampton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hampton
4.5
How Northampton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 7,748Total filings over 6 yrs
- 147.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 145.2%Peak (2016)
- 1,517Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 34% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northampton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.7%Housing insecurity
- 15.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.5%Food insecurity
- 25.6%SNAP enrollment
- 14.6%Transit barriers
- 12.0%No health insurance
- 21.5%Frequent mental distress
- 40.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northampton
Against Hampton City at 50.4%, 66% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
It sits 1.3 points above the Hampton City average of 4.0. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
SNAP participation runs 25.6% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.1/10.
Food insecurity runs 26.5% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 7,748 evictions over 6 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2016, when 145.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 147.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Hampton rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51650010309
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51650010309?
Census tract 51650010309 in the Northampton neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51650010309?
Median gross rent is $1,408/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51650010309?
22.6% of residents in tract 51650010309 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,091.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51650010309?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 52th, minority 76th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 51650010309 considered part of Northampton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51650010309 fall within Northampton (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51650010309?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7,748 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51650010309 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 147.39% of renter households, peaking at 145.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51650010309 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51650010309 compare to Hampton overall?
Tract 51650010309 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Hampton at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hampton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hampton
Top eight tracts in Hampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Aberdeen Gardens
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Windsor Terrace
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Windsor Terrace
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kecoughtan
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kecoughtan
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kecoughtan
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Salters Creek
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pine Chapel Village
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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