Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Northampton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51650010309 · Hampton city, VA · pop 5,091 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 51650010309 runs through the Northampton area of Hampton. With 5,091 residents, it scores 5.3/10 for landlords. It lands near the 48th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
66% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,408 a month while the average household earns $53,080 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 65% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,096
Renter share64.5%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate22.6%
Median income$53,080
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hampton and the region
Centroid at 37.0344, -76.4407 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northampton scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hampton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
22.6% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,408 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hampton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hampton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hampton
4.5
How Northampton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 7,748Total filings over 6 yrs
- 147.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 145.2%Peak (2016)
- 1,517Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 34% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northampton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.7%Housing insecurity
- 15.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.5%Food insecurity
- 25.6%SNAP enrollment
- 14.6%Transit barriers
- 12.0%No health insurance
- 21.5%Frequent mental distress
- 40.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northampton
What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hampton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hampton City County average of 4.9 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 7,748 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 147.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 145.2% of renter households in 2016.
In CDC survey modeling, about 20.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51650010309
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51650010309?
Census tract 51650010309 in the Northampton neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51650010309?
Median gross rent is $1,408/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51650010309?
22.6% of residents in tract 51650010309 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,091.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51650010309?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 52th, minority 76th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 51650010309 considered part of Northampton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51650010309 fall within Northampton (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51650010309?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7,748 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51650010309 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 147.39% of renter households, peaking at 145.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51650010309 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51650010309 compare to Hampton overall?
Tract 51650010309 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Hampton at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hampton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hampton
Top eight tracts in Hampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Windsor Terrace
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Kecoughtan
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Aberdeen Gardens
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kecoughtan
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kecoughtan
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Windsor Terrace
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pine Chapel Village
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Old North Hampton
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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