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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Tuckahoe Village West Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 51087200123 · Henrico County, VA · pop 3,173 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

51087200123 is a census tract in the Tuckahoe Village West area of Tuckahoe, VA. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,173 residents. Cost burden runs 32% here against 47.8% across Henrico County.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 38% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,444
Renter share55.6%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$77,108

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Tuckahoe Village West
Moderate
Within parent city
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 14 tracts In Tuckahoe
Elevated
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#34 of 85 tracts In Henrico County
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#698 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tuckahoe and the region

Centroid at 37.6177, -77.6430 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tuckahoe Village West scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tuckahoe
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,564 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tuckahoe
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tuckahoe
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tuckahoe
5.4

How Tuckahoe Village West compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tuckahoe Village West risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 2001234.1Tuckahoeparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 352Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 25.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 28.3%Peak (2016)
  • 180Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tuckahoe Village West

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.6/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 352 filings here across 2 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 28.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 25.7% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 3.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Henrico County average of 4.3 closely. Average gross rent is $1,564, close to the Tuckahoe average.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $77,108. 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087200123

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200123?

Census tract 51087200123 in the Tuckahoe Village West neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51087200123?

Median gross rent is $1,564/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200123?

10.0% of residents in tract 51087200123 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,173.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200123?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 46th, minority 64th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 51087200123 considered part of Tuckahoe Village West?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200123 fall within Tuckahoe Village West (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200123?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 352 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200123 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.69% of renter households, peaking at 28.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51087200123 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51087200123 compare to Tuckahoe overall?

Tract 51087200123 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tuckahoe at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tuckahoe

Top eight tracts in Tuckahoe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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