Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
English Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51087200125 · Henrico County, VA · pop 4,129 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 51087200125 sits in the English Hills area of Henrico County, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. Population here is 4,129. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,724
Renter share80.7%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$71,713
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
81
th percentile
High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Henrico County and the region
Centroid at 37.6311, -77.5607 · click any tract to drill in
Why English Hills scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,580 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How English Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 470Total filings over 2 yrs
- 16.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.3%Peak (2015)
- 188Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within English Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.3%Housing insecurity
- 8.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.6%Food insecurity
- 12.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 26.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in English Hills
81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
It sits 0.9 points above the Henrico County average of 4.3. The filing record is not thin: 470 evictions over 2 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 20.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 16.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Rent takes 30% or more of income for about half of renters.
Average gross rent runs $1,580 a month. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $71,713.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200125
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200125?
Census tract 51087200125 in the English Hills neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200125?
Median gross rent is $1,580/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200125?
13.8% of residents in tract 51087200125 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,129.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200125?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 51th, minority 74th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200125 considered part of English Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200125 fall within English Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200125?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 470 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200125 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.67% of renter households, peaking at 20.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200125 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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