Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #38,706 of 84,120 nationally
Henley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wyndham
Tract 51087200145 · Henrico County, VA · pop 4,906 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 51087200145 sits in Henley in Wyndham, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. It lands near the 40th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 35% of renter households, a high level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $250,001 a year. About 4% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,411
Renter share3.8%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
55
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wyndham and the region
Centroid at 37.6983, -77.6193 · click any tract to drill in
Why Henley scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wyndham
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wyndham
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wyndham
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wyndham
2.8
How Henley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.7%Food insecurity
- 2.9%SNAP enrollment
- 3.4%Transit barriers
- 3.6%No health insurance
- 12.1%Frequent mental distress
- 19.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Henley
What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wyndham, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Henrico County average of 6.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200145
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200145?
Census tract 51087200145 in the Henley neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200145?
1.9% of residents in tract 51087200145 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,906.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200145?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 23th, minority 52th, housing 1th.
Q4
Is tract 51087200145 considered part of Henley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200145 fall within Henley (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 51087200145 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51087200145 compare to Wyndham overall?
Tract 51087200145 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Wyndham at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wyndham; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wyndham
Top eight tracts in Wyndham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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