Tract 51121020701 ·
Montgomery County, VA · pop 2,773 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 51121020701 sits in the Hubbard Haven area of Blacksburg eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.7/10. It is home to 2,773 residents. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%Stable renters 40%Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,370
Renter share72.8%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate41.5%
Median income$53,594
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Hubbard Haven
Moderate
Within parent city
89th percentile
#2 of 10 tracts In Blacksburg
High
Within county
100th percentile
#1 of 23 tracts In Montgomery County
Very High
Within state
100th percentile
#5 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Blacksburg and the region
Centroid at 37.2094, -80.4090 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hubbard Haven scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Blacksburg
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
41.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,244 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.5
How Hubbard Haven compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
54%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
46%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.4%Housing insecurity
6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
11.2%Food insecurity
9.2%SNAP enrollment
8.4%Transit barriers
6.7%No health insurance
19.0%Frequent mental distress
26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hubbard Haven
Against the Montgomery County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.7/10.
The poverty rate is 41%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 9.5/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Montgomery County average of 40.4%. At $1,244 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Blacksburg commands.
That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 3.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $53,594.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51121020701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51121020701?
Census tract 51121020701 in the Hubbard Haven neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51121020701?
Median gross rent is $1,244/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51121020701?
41.5% of residents in tract 51121020701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,773.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51121020701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 1th, minority 40th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 51121020701 considered part of Hubbard Haven?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51121020701 fall within Hubbard Haven (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51121020701 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51121020701 compare to Blacksburg overall?
Tract 51121020701 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Blacksburg at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blacksburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Blacksburg
Top eight tracts in Blacksburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.