Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Northside Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Blacksburg

Tract 51121020402 · Montgomery County, VA · pop 4,387 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51121020402 belongs to the Northside Park neighborhood of Blacksburg, Virginia. It is home to 4,387 residents and scores 7.4/10, an elevated reading for landlords. It lands near the 98th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 49% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,389 monthly, set against $41,215 in average yearly household income, roughly 40% of income at the averages. About 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 24% Owners 43%

Tract context

Occupied units1,535

Renter share56.4%

SVI overall0.38

Poverty rate55.1%

Median income$41,215

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Blacksburg and the region

Centroid at 37.2555, -80.4225 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northside Park scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Blacksburg

5.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

55.1% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,389 rent vs county FMR

6.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Blacksburg

9.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Blacksburg

9.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Blacksburg

9.5

How Northside Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

69%Socioeconomic
0%Household composition
31%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.6%Housing insecurity
10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
21.7%Food insecurity
19.4%SNAP enrollment
14.1%Transit barriers
9.9%No health insurance
22.9%Frequent mental distress
34.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northside Park

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Blacksburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 6.0 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51121020402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51121020402?

Census tract 51121020402 in the Northside Park neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51121020402?

Median gross rent is $1,389/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51121020402?

55.1% of residents in tract 51121020402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,387.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51121020402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 0th, minority 31th, housing 81th.

Is tract 51121020402 considered part of Northside Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51121020402 fall within Northside Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51121020402 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51121020402 compare to Blacksburg overall?

Tract 51121020402 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Blacksburg at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blacksburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Blacksburg

Top eight tracts in Blacksburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.