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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

University Terrace Eviction Risk: Elevated , Blacksburg

Tract 51121020401 · Montgomery County, VA · pop 2,586 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 51121020401 covers University Terrace in Blacksburg, home to 2,586 residents. For landlords it grades 7.4/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than roughly 98% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 58% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 51% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,407 a month against an average household income of $10,711 a year, roughly 158% of income at the averages. Renters make up 95% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55% Stable renters 40% Owners 5%
Tract context
Occupied units787
Renter share95.0%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate82.8%
Median income$10,711

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In University Terrace
Moderate
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 10 tracts In Blacksburg
High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 23 tracts In Montgomery County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Blacksburg and the region

Centroid at 37.2438, -80.4196 · click any tract to drill in

Why University Terrace scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Blacksburg
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
82.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,407 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.5

How University Terrace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
University Terrace risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 020401Blacksburg: 3.73.7Blacksburgparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in University Terrace

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Blacksburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 6.0 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51121020401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51121020401?

Census tract 51121020401 in the University Terrace neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51121020401?

Median gross rent is $1,407/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51121020401?

82.8% of residents in tract 51121020401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,586.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51121020401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 0th, minority 36th, housing 15th.
Q5

Is tract 51121020401 considered part of University Terrace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51121020401 fall within University Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51121020401 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51121020401 compare to Blacksburg overall?

Tract 51121020401 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Blacksburg at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blacksburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Blacksburg

Top eight tracts in Blacksburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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