University Terrace Eviction Risk: Elevated , Blacksburg
Tract 51121020401 ·
Montgomery County, VA · pop 2,586 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 51121020401 covers part of the University Terrace area of Blacksburg, VA, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,586. Severe burden reaches 51%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55%Stable renters 40%Owners 5%
Tract context
Occupied units787
Renter share95.0%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate82.8%
Median income$10,711
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In University Terrace
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 10 tracts In Blacksburg
Very High
Within county
86th percentile
#4 of 23 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
100th percentile
#5 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Blacksburg and the region
Centroid at 37.2438, -80.4196 · click any tract to drill in
Why University Terrace scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Blacksburg
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
82.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,407 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.5
How University Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
65%Socioeconomic
0%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
15%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
21.5%Housing insecurity
17.3%Utility-shutoff threat
38.5%Food insecurity
38.2%SNAP enrollment
25.6%Transit barriers
14.5%No health insurance
30.4%Frequent mental distress
43.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in University Terrace
Against Montgomery County at 40.4%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. Set annual rent against average income of $10,711 and the ratio lands at 158%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
The poverty rate is 83%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation runs 38.2% against 15.2% nationally.
It sits 2.6 points above the Montgomery County average of 5.1. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.7/10. This is renter territory: 95% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Food insecurity runs 38.5% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 9.5/10. The voucher gap is 14.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 2.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 3.5 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51121020401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51121020401?
Census tract 51121020401 in the University Terrace neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51121020401?
Median gross rent is $1,407/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51121020401?
82.8% of residents in tract 51121020401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,586.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51121020401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 0th, minority 36th, housing 15th.
Q5
Is tract 51121020401 considered part of University Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51121020401 fall within University Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51121020401 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51121020401 compare to Blacksburg overall?
Tract 51121020401 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Blacksburg at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blacksburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Blacksburg
Top eight tracts in Blacksburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.