Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Linton Crest Eviction Risk: Lower , Linton Hall
Tract 51153901412 · Prince William County, VA · pop 7,753 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 51153901412 covers part of the Linton Crest area of Linton Hall, VA, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,753 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units2,170
Renter share7.1%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$202,209
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Linton Hall and the region
Centroid at 38.7676, -77.6108 · click any tract to drill in
Why Linton Crest scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Linton Hall
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,427 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Linton Hall
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Linton Hall
2.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Linton Hall
3.0
How Linton Crest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.2%Peak (2016)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.2%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 14.1%Frequent mental distress
- 21.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Linton Crest
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
It sits 1.1 points below the Prince William County average of 4.1. SNAP participation runs 5.3% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.2% against 17.8% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 5 filings here across 1 tracked years. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.9/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when 2.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51153901412
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901412?
Census tract 51153901412 in the Linton Crest neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51153901412?
Median gross rent is $2,427/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901412?
1.7% of residents in tract 51153901412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,753.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901412?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 8th, minority 54th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 51153901412 considered part of Linton Crest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153901412 fall within Linton Crest (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901412?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51153901412 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.18% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51153901412 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51153901412 compare to Linton Hall overall?
Tract 51153901412 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Linton Hall at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Linton Hall eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Linton Hall
Top eight tracts in Linton Hall ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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