Occoquan Eviction Risk: Lower

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.2/10. SNAP participation runs 3.4% against 15.2% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 8 filings here across 4 tracked years.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2013, when 40.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 18.9% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 1% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.