Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #55,092 of 84,120 nationally
Occoquan Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51059492201 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,921 · 1% of tract blocks fall in Occoquan
Census tract 51059492201 runs through Occoquan. With 2,921 residents, it scores 4.3/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #69,923 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 0% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $250,001 a year. About 1% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units1,005
Renter share0.9%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
11
th percentile
Very Low
National
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Occoquan and the region
Centroid at 38.7296, -77.3144 · click any tract to drill in
Why Occoquan scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Occoquan
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Occoquan
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Occoquan
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Occoquan
3.5
How Occoquan compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000-2018)
- 8Total filings over 4 yrs
- 18.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 40.0%Peak (2013)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.6%Food insecurity
- 3.4%SNAP enrollment
- 3.6%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 10.6%Frequent mental distress
- 21.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Occoquan
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Occoquan, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 8 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 18.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 40.0% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059492201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059492201?
Census tract 51059492201 in Occoquan scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059492201?
3.7% of residents in tract 51059492201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,921.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059492201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 18th, minority 58th, housing 1th.
Q4
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059492201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059492201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.89% of renter households, peaking at 40.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5
What share of households in tract 51059492201 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51059492201 compare to Occoquan overall?
Tract 51059492201 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Occoquan at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Occoquan; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Occoquan
Top eight tracts in Occoquan ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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