Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Colonial Place Eviction Risk: Lower , Richmond
Tract 51760050200 · Richmond city, VA · pop 3,376 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Tract 51760050200 sits in the Colonial Place area of Richmond eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 3,376. Against Richmond City at 50.2%, 17% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,532
Renter share15.8%
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$161,406
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5716, -77.4955 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colonial Place scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,860 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Colonial Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 0
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 31%Grade A
- 60%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 32Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.1%Peak (2015)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.6%Food insecurity
- 3.2%SNAP enrollment
- 3.6%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 19.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Colonial Place
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Average gross rent is $1,860, 36% above the Richmond average.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.4/10. Food insecurity runs 4.6% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 1.3 points below the Richmond City average of 4.3. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 32 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2015 at 3.1% of renter households.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Richmond. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760050200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760050200?
Census tract 51760050200 in the Colonial Place neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760050200?
Median gross rent is $1,860/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760050200?
1.4% of residents in tract 51760050200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,376.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760050200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 3th, minority 18th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 51760050200 considered part of Colonial Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760050200 fall within Colonial Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760050200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 32 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760050200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.96% of renter households, peaking at 3.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760050200 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760050200 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760050200 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51760050200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Carver
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fairmount
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
The Fan
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Washington Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
South Garden
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Montrose Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fulton Bottom
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Related