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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Gilpin Court Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond

Tract 51760030100 · Richmond city, VA · pop 2,685 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 51760030100 covers part of the Gilpin Court area of Richmond, VA, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 61% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,041
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate59.4%
Median income$16,732

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Gilpin Court
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 75 tracts In Richmond
Very High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 75 tracts In Richmond city
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#188 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.5525, -77.4351 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gilpin Court scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
59.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$386 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0

How Gilpin Court compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gilpin Court risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0301004.3Richmondparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,525Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 35.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 40.0%Peak (2014)
  • 362Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51760030100
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gilpin Court

At $386 a month, rents run 72% under what the rest of Richmond commands. SNAP participation runs 77.5% against 15.2% nationally.

Disability prevalence runs 59.1% against 31.5% nationally. The poverty rate is 59%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.8/10. 39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Richmond City average of 50.2%.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.4 points above the Richmond City average of 4.3.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,525 filings here across 4 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2014, when 40.0% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760030100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760030100?

Census tract 51760030100 in the Gilpin Court neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51760030100?

Median gross rent is $386/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760030100?

59.4% of residents in tract 51760030100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,685.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760030100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 77th, minority 96th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 51760030100 considered part of Gilpin Court?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760030100 fall within Gilpin Court (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760030100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,525 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760030100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 35.15% of renter households, peaking at 40.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51760030100 struggle to pay rent?

About 49.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 44.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51760030100 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760030100 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51760030100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 48% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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