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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Pinehurts Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond

Tract 51760071004 · Richmond city, VA · pop 1,821 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51760071004 (the Pinehurts area of Richmond, Virginia) comes in at 6.7/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 90% of US census tracts.

About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,100 a month while the average household earns $35,962 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. About 98% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 45% Owners 2%
Tract context
Occupied units906
Renter share98.5%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate24.4%
Median income$35,962

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Pinehurts
Very High
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 75 tracts In Richmond
High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 75 tracts In Richmond city
High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#110 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.5081, -77.5214 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pinehurts scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
24.4% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,100 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0

How Pinehurts compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pinehurts risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 071004Richmond: 4.74.7Richmondparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pinehurts. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pinehurts

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760071004

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760071004?

Census tract 51760071004 in the Pinehurts neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51760071004?

Median gross rent is $1,100/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760071004?

24.4% of residents in tract 51760071004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,821.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760071004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 99th, minority 89th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 51760071004 considered part of Pinehurts?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760071004 fall within Pinehurts (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51760071004 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51760071004 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760071004 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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