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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Pinehurts Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond

Tract 51760071004 · Richmond city, VA · pop 1,821 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

51760071004 is a census tract in the Pinehurts area of Richmond, VA. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,821. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 45% Owners 2%
Tract context
Occupied units906
Renter share98.5%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate24.4%
Median income$35,962

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Pinehurts
Very High
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 75 tracts In Richmond
High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#15 of 75 tracts In Richmond city
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#188 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.5081, -77.5214 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pinehurts scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
24.4% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,100 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0

How Pinehurts compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pinehurts risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0710044.3Richmondparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pinehurts. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pinehurts

98% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Set annual rent against average income of $35,962 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.4/10.

Against the Richmond City average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

At $1,100 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Richmond commands. Housing insecurity runs 21.6% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.4/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760071004

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760071004?

Census tract 51760071004 in the Pinehurts neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51760071004?

Median gross rent is $1,100/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760071004?

24.4% of residents in tract 51760071004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,821.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760071004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 99th, minority 89th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 51760071004 considered part of Pinehurts?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760071004 fall within Pinehurts (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51760071004 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51760071004 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760071004 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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