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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Oakwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond

Tract 51760020900 · Richmond city, VA · pop 3,267 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

The Oakwood area of Richmond anchors census tract 51760020900, which lands at 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,194 monthly, set against $46,784 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 61% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 26% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,551
Renter share60.9%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate15.7%
Median income$46,784

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Oakwood
Moderate
Within parent city
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#29 of 75 tracts In Richmond
Elevated
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#29 of 75 tracts In Richmond city
Elevated
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#263 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.5287, -77.3982 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oakwood scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.7% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,194 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0

How Oakwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oakwood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 020900Richmond: 4.74.7Richmondparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,368Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 48.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 54.2%Peak (2015)
  • 318Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 517600209002013: 330 filings (46.48/100 renter HHs)2014: 335 filings (47.18/100 renter HHs)2015: 385 filings (54.23/100 renter HHs)2016: 318 filings (44.73/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oakwood

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,368 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 48.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 54.2% of renter households in 2015.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 37% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760020900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760020900?

Census tract 51760020900 in the Oakwood neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51760020900?

Median gross rent is $1,194/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760020900?

15.7% of residents in tract 51760020900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,267.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760020900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 39th, minority 82th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 51760020900 considered part of Oakwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760020900 fall within Oakwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760020900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,368 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760020900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 48.16% of renter households, peaking at 54.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51760020900 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51760020900 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760020900 scores 4.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51760020900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 37% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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