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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Randolph Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond

Tract 51760041400 · Richmond city, VA · pop 2,265 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

51760041400 is a census tract in the Randolph area of Richmond, VA. It scores 4.2/10 for landlords. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 20% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units944
Renter share37.8%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$60,714

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Randolph
Moderate
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 75 tracts In Richmond
Moderate
Within county
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 75 tracts In Richmond city
Moderate
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#919 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.5435, -77.4699 · click any tract to drill in

Why Randolph scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,431 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0

How Randolph compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Randolph risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0414004.3Richmondparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 268Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 20.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.9%Peak (2013)
  • 48Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51760041400
Filings dropped 39% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Randolph

32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 268 filings here across 4 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2013, when 24.9% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 20.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters.

It tracks the Richmond City average of 4.3 closely. Average gross rent is $1,431, close to the Richmond average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51760041400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760041400?

Census tract 51760041400 in the Randolph neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51760041400?

Median gross rent is $1,431/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51760041400?

13.9% of residents in tract 51760041400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,265.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51760041400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 14th, minority 69th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 51760041400 considered part of Randolph?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760041400 fall within Randolph (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760041400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 268 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760041400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.59% of renter households, peaking at 24.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51760041400 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51760041400 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 51760041400 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51760041400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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