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Neighborhood · Roanoke, VA

Chestnut Hills Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,951 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Chestnut Hills maps to a single census tract in Roanoke, VA and houses 4,951 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.2/10. 22% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, below the Roanoke rate of 28.4%. 14% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 6.2% of adults, 11.6 points below the national rate.

Average gross rent is $1,062, 7% above the Roanoke average of $996. Among the 23 mapped neighborhoods of Roanoke, it ranks #20 by risk, the lower third. Only 27% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Rent takes 11% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Chestnut Hills vs Roanoke How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
22.3% -21%
Roanoke: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$1,062 +7%
Roanoke: $996
Average HH income
$113,979 +116%
Roanoke: $52,671
Poverty rate
9.0% -54%
Roanoke: 19.7%
Renter share
27.0% -43%
Roanoke: 47.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chestnut Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Chestnut Hills scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
22% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
27% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
9.0% below poverty line · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Risk score comparison

Chestnut Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Chestnut Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Chestnut HillsNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Chestnut Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51770002900 3 4,951 22% $1,062
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 18%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 21%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 29%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 73%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chestnut Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Chestnut Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Chestnut Hills?

Chestnut Hills scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Chestnut Hills compare to Roanoke overall?

Chestnut Hills scores 1.0 points lower than Roanoke overall (4/10). Renters spend 22% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,062 vs $996.
Q3

What is the average rent in Chestnut Hills?

Average gross rent in Chestnut Hills is $1,062/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Chestnut Hills residents are renters?

27% of Chestnut Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Roanoke). The neighborhood has 4,951 residents.
Q5

Is Chestnut Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Chestnut Hills sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Chestnut Hills for landlords?

Chestnut Hills carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Roanoke as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Chestnut Hills?

Chestnut Hills has 4,538 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (82.3%), Other / Multiracial (6%), Hispanic / Latino (5.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chestnut Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Roanoke

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Chestnut Hills.

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