Chestnut Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Roanoke
Tract 51770002900 · Roanoke city, VA · pop 4,951 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 51770002900 in the Chestnut Hills area of Roanoke, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,951 residents. 22% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Roanoke City average of 42.8%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Roanoke and the region
Centroid at 37.2326, -79.9572 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chestnut Hills scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Chestnut Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 13%Grade A
- 12%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.5%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.2%Food insecurity
- 4.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Chestnut Hills
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.5/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.2/10. Against the Roanoke City average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.
SNAP participation runs 4.8% against 15.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Roanoke. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 3.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $113,979, annual rent is just 11%. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51770002900
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51770002900?
What is the average rent in tract 51770002900?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51770002900?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51770002900?
Is tract 51770002900 considered part of Chestnut Hills?
What share of households in tract 51770002900 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51770002900 compare to Roanoke overall?
Was tract 51770002900 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke
Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.