Neighborhood · Roanoke, VA

Colonial Trail Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,216 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

Colonial Trail is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Roanoke with 1 census tract and a population of 5,216 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 34% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 21% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,040/month sits 4% higher than the Roanoke citywide average ($996).

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Colonial Trail vs Roanoke How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

33.7% +19%

Roanoke: 28.4%

Average gross rent

$1,040 +4%

Roanoke: $996

Average HH income

$58,318 +11%

Roanoke: $52,671

Poverty rate

19.3% -2%

Roanoke: 19.7%

Renter share

30.7% -35%

Roanoke: 47.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Colonial Trail and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why Colonial Trail scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

34% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

31% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

19.3% below poverty line · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts

4.1

Risk score comparison

Colonial Trail vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Colonial Trail

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51770000601	4.9	5,216	34%	$1,040

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 53%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 63%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 43%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 24%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Colonial Trail

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

14.1%Housing insecurity
9.8%Utility shutoff threat
17.6%Food insecurity
16.4%SNAP enrollment
10.6%No health insurance
33.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Colonial Trail

What is the eviction-risk score for Colonial Trail?

Colonial Trail scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Colonial Trail compare to Roanoke overall?

Colonial Trail scores 0.8 points higher than Roanoke overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,040 vs $996.

What is the average rent in Colonial Trail?

Average gross rent in Colonial Trail is $1,040/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Colonial Trail residents are renters?

31% of Colonial Trail households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Roanoke). The neighborhood has 5,216 residents.

Is Colonial Trail a high social-vulnerability area?

Colonial Trail sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Colonial Trail for landlords?

Colonial Trail carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Roanoke as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Colonial Trail?

Colonial Trail has 5,241 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10%), Other / Multiracial (9.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Colonial Trail

5.2 Cedar Bluff 2 tracts · pop 5,369 5.1 Ghent 2 tracts · pop 6,309

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Roanoke

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Colonial Trail.

4.9 Buena Vista 1 tracts · pop 5,086 4.9 Hampden Hills 1 tracts · pop 5,139 5 Avendale 1 tracts · pop 4,702 4.8 Ghent 2 tracts · pop 6,309 5.1 West View 1 tracts · pop 3,592 4.7 Ridgewood Heights 1 tracts · pop 2,789

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