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Neighborhood · Falmouth, VA

Heather Hills Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,828 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.4–3.4

Heather Hills is a one-tract neighborhood of Falmouth, VA, population 6,828. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.4/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10.

15% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.6/10. The filing record is not thin: 100 evictions logged in this tract.

Average gross rent is $2,119, 13% above the Falmouth average of $1,873. SNAP participation is 6.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 8.7% of adults, 9.1 points below the national rate.

Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 10.2% of renter households. 36% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. Recent filings have not receded much: 9.5% in 2016 against a 10.2% peak.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Brookfield and Clyde Forge score within a fraction of it.

Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Heather Hills vs Falmouth How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.4% 0%
Falmouth: 36.5%
Average gross rent
$2,119 +13%
Falmouth: $1,873
Average HH income
$145,115 +16%
Falmouth: $125,305
Poverty rate
2.4% -78%
Falmouth: 10.9%
Renter share
19.0% -16%
Falmouth: 22.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Heather Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.4–3.4

Why Heather Hills scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
19% renter households · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Economic stress
2.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison

Heather Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Heather Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.4Heather HillsNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Heather Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51179010404 3.4 6,828 36% $2,119
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 13

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 18%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 3%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Heather Hills

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 100Total filings (sum)
  • 9.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.2%Peak year (2015)
  • 9.47%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Heather Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Heather Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Heather Hills?

Heather Hills scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Heather Hills compare to Falmouth overall?

Heather Hills scores 0.6 points lower than Falmouth overall (4/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $2,119 vs $1,873.
Q3

What is the average rent in Heather Hills?

Average gross rent in Heather Hills is $2,119/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Heather Hills residents are renters?

19% of Heather Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 23% in Falmouth). The neighborhood has 6,828 residents.
Q5

Is Heather Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Heather Hills sits in the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Heather Hills for landlords?

Heather Hills carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Falmouth as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Heather Hills?

Heather Hills has 7,004 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (58.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25.1%), Hispanic / Latino (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Heather Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Falmouth

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Heather Hills.

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