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Neighborhood · Waynesboro, VA

Basic City Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 5,974 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 4.5–5.3

Basic City spans 2 census tracts of Waynesboro, VA and houses 5,974 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 44% against 29.1% citywide, putting Basic City 14.8% over its own city.

34% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.2/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2/10.

The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Filings are well documented here: 709 across 2 observed tracts.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.6/10. At $894 a month, rents sit 12% under what the rest of Waynesboro commands. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 15.0% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 14.1% in 2016 against a 15.0% peak. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 2 tracts score within 0.8 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $43,656. 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 5.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Basic City vs Waynesboro How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.9% +51%
Waynesboro: 29.1%
Average gross rent
$894 -12%
Waynesboro: $1,020
Average HH income
$43,656 -23%
Waynesboro: $56,364
Poverty rate
19.6% +68%
Waynesboro: 11.7%
Renter share
43.4% +8%
Waynesboro: 40.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Basic City and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.5–5.3

Why Basic City scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
43% renter households · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
19.6% below poverty line · Range 4.2–5.1 across tracts
4.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–2.8 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

Basic City vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Basic City score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2Basic CityNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Basic City

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51820003200 5.3 4,862 41% $870
51820003100 4.5 1,112 58% $997
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 94

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 86%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 98%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 54%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Basic City

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 709Total filings (sum)
  • 12.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.0%Peak year (2014)
  • 13.75%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Basic City

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Basic City

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Basic City?

Basic City scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Basic City compare to Waynesboro overall?

Basic City scores 1.2 points higher than Waynesboro overall (4/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $894 vs $1,020.
Q3

What is the average rent in Basic City?

Average gross rent in Basic City is $894/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Basic City residents are renters?

43% of Basic City households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Waynesboro). The neighborhood has 5,974 residents.
Q5

Is Basic City a high social-vulnerability area?

Basic City sits in the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Basic City have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Basic City is census tract 51820003200 (score 5.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 5.3, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Basic City for landlords?

Basic City carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Waynesboro as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Basic City?

Basic City has 6,064 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.4%), Hispanic / Latino (18.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Waynesboro

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Basic City.

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