Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Basic City Eviction Risk: Moderate , Waynesboro
Tract 51820003200 · Waynesboro city, VA · pop 4,862 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 51820003200, home to 4,862 residents in the Basic City neighborhood of Waynesboro, scores 6.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 76th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $870 a month against an average household income of $41,304 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,977
Renter share35.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate20.2%
Median income$41,304
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waynesboro and the region
Centroid at 38.0591, -78.8916 · click any tract to drill in
Why Basic City scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Waynesboro
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
20.2% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$870 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waynesboro
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waynesboro
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waynesboro
5.9
How Basic City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 524Total filings over 4 yrs
- 13.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.0%Peak (2013)
- 143Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Basic City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.3%Housing insecurity
- 14.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.3%Food insecurity
- 29.1%SNAP enrollment
- 14.6%Transit barriers
- 15.5%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 43.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Basic City
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Waynesboro eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Waynesboro City County average of 6.0 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 20.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 524 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 13.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.0% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51820003200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51820003200?
Census tract 51820003200 in the Basic City neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51820003200?
Median gross rent is $870/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51820003200?
20.2% of residents in tract 51820003200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,862.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51820003200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 98th, minority 52th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 51820003200 considered part of Basic City?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51820003200 fall within Basic City (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51820003200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 524 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51820003200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.10% of renter households, peaking at 15.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51820003200 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51820003200 compare to Waynesboro overall?
Tract 51820003200 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Waynesboro at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waynesboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Waynesboro
Top eight tracts in Waynesboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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