Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Basic City Eviction Risk: Moderate , Waynesboro
Tract 51820003100 · Waynesboro city, VA · pop 1,112 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
51820003100 is a census tract in the Basic City area of Waynesboro, VA. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,112. Severe burden reaches 41%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units533
Renter share77.7%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$53,942
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waynesboro and the region
Centroid at 38.0698, -78.8922 · click any tract to drill in
Why Basic City scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Waynesboro
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$997 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waynesboro
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waynesboro
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waynesboro
5.9
How Basic City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 185Total filings over 4 yrs
- 10.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.1%Peak (2014)
- 52Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 41% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Basic City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.1%Food insecurity
- 11.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 11.2%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 36.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Basic City
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.1/10. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Against Waynesboro City at 47.5%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.2/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10. Court records carry 185 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2014, when 11.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 10.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Waynesboro City average of 4.2 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51820003100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51820003100?
Census tract 51820003100 in the Basic City neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51820003100?
Median gross rent is $997/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51820003100?
16.9% of residents in tract 51820003100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,112.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51820003100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 99th, minority 61th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 51820003100 considered part of Basic City?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51820003100 fall within Basic City (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51820003100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 185 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51820003100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.60% of renter households, peaking at 11.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51820003100 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51820003100 compare to Waynesboro overall?
Tract 51820003100 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Waynesboro at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waynesboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Waynesboro
Top eight tracts in Waynesboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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