Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Basic City Eviction Risk: Moderate , Waynesboro
Tract 51820003100 · Waynesboro city, VA · pop 1,112 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 51820003100 sits in the Basic City neighborhood of Waynesboro eviction risk, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $997 monthly, set against $53,942 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 78% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units533
Renter share77.7%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$53,942
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waynesboro and the region
Centroid at 38.0698, -78.8922 · click any tract to drill in
Why Basic City scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Waynesboro
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$997 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waynesboro
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waynesboro
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waynesboro
5.9
How Basic City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 185Total filings over 4 yrs
- 10.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.1%Peak (2014)
- 52Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 41% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Basic City. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.1%Food insecurity
- 11.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.6%Transit barriers
- 11.2%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 36.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Basic City
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Waynesboro eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Waynesboro City County average of 6.0 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 185 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 10.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.1% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51820003100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51820003100?
Census tract 51820003100 in the Basic City neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51820003100?
Median gross rent is $997/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51820003100?
16.9% of residents in tract 51820003100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,112.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51820003100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 99th, minority 61th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 51820003100 considered part of Basic City?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51820003100 fall within Basic City (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51820003100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 185 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51820003100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.60% of renter households, peaking at 11.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51820003100 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51820003100 compare to Waynesboro overall?
Tract 51820003100 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Waynesboro at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waynesboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Waynesboro
Top eight tracts in Waynesboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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