Winchester, Virginia Eviction Risk: Low
1 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Winchester (3.7) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.
Ranked #23 of 132 VA counties
28k residents · 1 cities · 6 tracts
Winchester eviction risk score history
Key metrics
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Tenant beats landlord35.0%/ 100 outcomesIn court-decided eviction outcomes for Winchester, VA, tenants prevail in roughly 35.0% of contested cases. A higher number means landlords face stronger tenant defenses and longer calendars.
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Timeline56dfiling → judgmentFrom the moment an unlawful-detainer notice is filed in Winchester, VA until a money judgment is entered, a contested eviction takes about 56 days on average. Longer timelines mean more lost rent for landlords.
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Cost range$2.0–4.9klegal + lost rentA typical eviction in Winchester, VA costs landlords $1,959 to $4,878 all-in, covering court filing fees, process-server costs, attorney time, and lost rent.
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Average rent$1,31532% stretched on rentAverage gross rent in Winchester, VA is $1,315 per month per the U.S. Census American Community Survey. 32% of renter households here spend more than 30% of pre-tax income on rent.
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Renters56.4%of households56.4% of occupied housing units in Winchester, VA are renter-occupied. A higher renter share usually correlates with more eviction filings and a more active rental market.
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Poverty19.3%5.9% unemp.19.3% of Winchester, VA residents live below the federal poverty line, and unemployment runs at 5.9%. Both feed the economic-stress sub-score in our Eviction Risk Score model.
Scrub 50 years
Winchester city County averages 5.8/10 (Elevated), with Winchester, the county's sole tracked city, anchoring that score at 5.8/10. Ranks 12th of 132 Virginia counties, higher-risk third of the state.
How Winchester ranks in Virginia
Landlord guides for Virginia
| City↕ | Population↕ | Risk↕ | % income on rent↕ | Average rent↕ | Lean↕ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | Winchester | 27,913 | 3.7 | 32.2% | $1,315 | Dem |
County heatmap
Neighborhoods in Winchester
Top 1 neighborhoods by population. Click for a pop-weighted risk score and the constituent census tracts.
One county, multiple regulatory regimes.
Winchester eviction risk city County carries an average eviction-risk score of 3.7/10 (Elevated), placing it among the higher-risk jurisdictions in Virginia. With just one city inside its boundaries, the county-wide figure is also the city-level figure, meaning every landlord and investor operating here faces the same baseline of 3.7/10 with no lower-risk pocket to retreat to within county lines. At 56.4% renter share and an average rent burden of 32.2%, demand is solid but the tenant pool carries meaningful financial stress, and a 19.3% poverty rate keeps default risk persistently elevated.
Among Virginia's 132 counties and independent cities, Winchester city County ranks 13th, meaning only 12 jurisdictions statewide score higher. That puts it firmly in the higher-risk third of the state, a fact landlords should weigh against an average asking rent of $1,315 per month. Cash flow can work, but underwriting must account for real eviction exposure rather than treating it as a remote tail risk.
The cities inside Winchester city County
Because Winchester city County is a single independent city jurisdiction, Winchester is both the highest-risk and only city in the county, scoring 3.7/10 with a population of 27,913. There is no intra-county variance to exploit here: every rental address in the county carries the same risk profile. Investors comparing Winchester against peer markets should note that nearby Charlottesville city scores 5.58/10 and Manassas city scores 5.51/10, both meaningfully more landlord-friendly, while Martinsville city at 5.97/10 and Franklin city at 5.72/10 sit above Winchester on the risk scale. The hyper-local lesson is clear: even within a tight geographic band of Virginia independent cities, a few tenths of a point separates manageable risk from elevated exposure.
State-level laws that apply here
Virginia state law under Va. Code § 55.1-1200 et seq. governs every tenancy in Winchester city County. For nonpayment of rent, landlords must serve a 5-day notice before filing; a material lease violation triggers a 21-day cure notice, and a material non-curable breach or end of a month-to-month tenancy each require 30 days. Understanding the full Virginia eviction process matters here because timelines add up fast: uncontested cases run 21 to 45 days from filing to possession, while contested cases stretch to 45 to 120 days. Court filing fees run $58 to $90, sheriff lockout fees add $40 to $150, and attorney fees typically fall between $500 and $3,000, meaning a contested eviction can expose a landlord to well over $3,000 in combined costs.
Virginia eviction costs at that level make rent-default reserves a practical necessity, not a luxury. On the tenant-protection side, Virginia does not require just cause for non-renewal and state law preempts any local rent-control ordinance, so Winchester city County cannot impose rent caps independently. Landlords must give 24 hours notice before entry. For a full breakdown, Virginia security deposit limits and Virginia tenant protections are covered in the statewide guides linked throughout this site.
With a poverty rate of 19.3% and more than half of residents renting, Winchester city County's risk profile is consistent across its single city, making the scores in the city grid above both representative and directly actionable for underwriting decisions.
Eviction filings in Virginia
The Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System covers Virginia statewide (no county-level tracker available for Winchester). In the past month, 10,534 statewide filings were recorded, 1.07× the historical baseline (near baseline).
- 10,534Past month (state)
- 139,873Past 12 months
- 1.02×vs baseline (12 mo)
Eviction filings in Winchester
In September 2025, 31 eviction filings were recorded in Winchester, 57.7% of the historical average (below average).2
- 31Sep 2025
- 57.7%of historical avg
- 6,544Renter households
- 19.3%Poverty rate
Historical eviction filings in Winchester
From 2010 to 2016, eviction filings in Winchester declined 16%. The peak was 724 filings in 2010.3
- 7242010
- 724Peak (2010)
- 6082016
Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.
How Winchester compares
Winchester city County's 5.8/10 Elevated score ranks it 12th of 132 Virginia counties, placing it in the higher-risk third of the state. Only 11 Virginia eviction laws counties carry greater eviction risk; 120 are less risky or more landlord-friendly.
Among its closest peers, Martinsville city scores 5.97/10, Franklin city 5.72/10, and Charlottesville city 5.58/10, while Manassas city (5.51/10) and Manassas Park city (5.44/10) sit modestly below Winchester city's level, confirming that Winchester city occupies the mid-to-upper range of Virginia's elevated-risk independent city cluster.