Neighborhood · Winchester, VA

Regents Crest Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,207 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 4.8–6.3

Regents Crest is a diverse neighborhood in Winchester with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,207 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 58% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,191/month sits 9% lower than the Winchester citywide average ($1,315).

Risk score

5.5

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Regents Crest vs Winchester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

57.7% +79%

Winchester: 32.2%

Average gross rent

$1,191 -9%

Winchester: $1,315

Average HH income

$56,562 -13%

Winchester: $64,648

Poverty rate

30.3% +57%

Winchester: 19.3%

Renter share

61.4% +9%

Winchester: 56.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Regents Crest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.8–6.3

Why Regents Crest scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Rent control risk

58% of income on rent · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts

2.7

Tenant organizing strength

61% renter households · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts

9.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Economic stress

30.3% below poverty line · Range 4.4–10.0 across tracts

7.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–3.1 across tracts

2.6

Risk score comparison

Regents Crest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Regents Crest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51840000102	6.3	3,510	65%	$1,101
51840000201	4.8	3,697	51%	$1,277

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 72

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 69%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 72%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 67%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Regents Crest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

17.2%Housing insecurity
12.3%Utility shutoff threat
22.9%Food insecurity
22.1%SNAP enrollment
14.4%No health insurance
38.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Regents Crest

What is the eviction-risk score for Regents Crest?

Regents Crest scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Regents Crest compare to Winchester overall?

Regents Crest scores 1.8 points higher than Winchester overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,191 vs $1,315.

What is the average rent in Regents Crest?

Average gross rent in Regents Crest is $1,191/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Regents Crest residents are renters?

61% of Regents Crest households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Winchester). The neighborhood has 7,207 residents.

Is Regents Crest a high social-vulnerability area?

Regents Crest sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Regents Crest have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Regents Crest is census tract 51840000102 (score 6.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 6.3, a spread of 1.5 points.

How safe is Regents Crest for landlords?

Regents Crest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Winchester as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Regents Crest?

Regents Crest has 6,966 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.6%), Hispanic / Latino (17.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Winchester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Regents Crest.

5.2 Heritage Hills 1 tracts · pop 3,903 5 Plainfield Heights 1 tracts · pop 6,007 4.6 College Park 1 tracts · pop 5,388 4 Stonewall Orchard 1 tracts · pop 5,598

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