What is the eviction risk score for Winchester?

The landlord eviction risk score for Winchester, VA is 6.6 out of 10, rated Elevated risk.

Does Winchester have rent control?

The rent-control risk score for Winchester is 6.7 out of 10.

How long does an eviction take in Winchester?

Typical eviction timeline is about 56 days from notice to writ of possession.

Winchester, VA Eviction Risk Score Winchester · Virginia · Population 27,913 · Updated April 18, 2026

6.6 Elevated

★★★ High confidence

35.0%Tenant-law probabilityi

$1,959–4,878Typical eviction costi

56 daysTypical timelinei

9.90%Eviction filing ratei

$1,569HUD 2BR FMR 2025i

$1,315Median gross renti

32.2%Rent burdeni

56.4%Rentersi

Sub-score breakdown

Local political climate

6.0

Dem margin +11.5% in 2020

Regional political climate

6.0

Dem margin +11.5% in 2020

State political climate

3.2

Economic stress

7.5

19.3% poverty · 5.9% unemployed

Supply constraint

8.6

$1,315 median rent · 56.4% renters

Rent-control risk

6.7

32.2% rent burden

Eviction process difficulty

2.7

Tenant organizing strength

9.6

56.4% renters

Housing court bias

7.2

Eviction filing rate (ground truth)

8.7

9.90 filings per 100 renter households (county, latest year)

Voucher gap (market vs HUD FMR)

0.0

Market rent -16.2% vs HUD 2BR FMR ($1,569)

Sub-scores are national percentile rankings (1 = most landlord-friendly, 10 = most tenant-protective) derived from ACS 2023 5-year data, 2020 county presidential margin, and state law weighting. Source: ACS 2023 5-year + Gazetteer 2024.

Location & regional heat

Heat density reflects surrounding cities. Click any nearby city to compare.

Own rentals in or near Winchester?

Get a free consultation covering local rent-control exposure, notice requirements, and eviction defense risk.

Free Consultation →

About eviction risk in Winchester, VA

Winchester, VA has an eviction risk score of 6.6 out of 10, placing it in the elevated-risk tier for landlords operating in Winchester and the state of Virginia. The score combines local political climate, court disposition patterns, cost-of-eviction estimates, tenant organizing strength, and the likelihood of new tenant-protective legislation in the next legislative cycle.

Census ACS 2023 5-year estimates show median gross rent as a percentage of household income is 32.2% — a core driver of eviction filings, because households above 30% of income on rent are statistically more likely to miss a payment after any income shock. Median gross rent in Winchester is $1,315/month. About 56.4% of occupied units here are renter-occupied.

Economic stress: poverty rate 19.3%, unemployment 5.9%. Higher values correlate with higher eviction filing rates and longer court timelines.

Political climate: In 2020, Winchester voted Democratic by 11.5 points — classified as moderately tenant-leaning for purposes of rent-control or just-cause expansion risk.

What this score means for landlords

At 6.6/10, Winchester is an elevated-risk environment. Tenant protections are stronger than the national median. Use proactive screening, document notices in writing, and understand your specific just-cause and rent-cap exposure before raising rent or terminating a tenancy.