Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Carlyle Court Eviction Risk: High , Lakewood
Tract 53053071806 · Pierce County, WA · pop 4,882 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 8/10, tract 53053071806 in the Carlyle Court area of Lakewood, WA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,882. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 5%
Tract context
Occupied units2,025
Renter share94.9%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate20.9%
Median income$48,574
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lakewood and the region
Centroid at 47.1445, -122.5053 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carlyle Court scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lakewood
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
20.9% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,333 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakewood
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakewood
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakewood
6.8
How Carlyle Court compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,326Total filings over 11 yrs
- 7.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.1%Peak (2014)
- 119Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 395Total filings 2020-21
- 5.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked St Louis, MO as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carlyle Court
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. 95% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Against the Pierce County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.
Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $48,574, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Cost burden runs 58% here against 47.5% across Pierce County. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,326 filings here across 11 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,333, 13% below the Lakewood average.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 10.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 53053071806
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53053071806?
Census tract 53053071806 in the Carlyle Court neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53053071806?
Median gross rent is $1,333/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53053071806?
20.9% of residents in tract 53053071806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,882.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53053071806?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 89th, minority 74th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 53053071806 considered part of Carlyle Court?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53053071806 fall within Carlyle Court (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53053071806?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,326 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 53053071806 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.34% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 53053071806 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (St Louis, MO), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 53053071806 compare to Lakewood overall?
Tract 53053071806 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Lakewood at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakewood eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lakewood
Top eight tracts in Lakewood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
International District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Woodbrook
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Chambers Creek Terrance
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Town Centre Village
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
International District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · WA
Clover Park
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
Clover Oaks
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WA
Chambers Plateau
7
/ 10 · Elevated
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