Carlyle Court Eviction Risk: High

95% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Severe burden reaches 32%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Court records for this tract carry 1,326 eviction filings. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,333, 13% below the Lakewood average of $1,525.

Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 10.1% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 7.3% in 2015 against a 10.1% peak. That places it #2 of 9 neighborhoods in Lakewood.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.