Greenbush Eviction Risk: Elevated , Madison

The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The dominant input is economic stress at 8.4/10.

Cost burden runs 52% here against 41.3% across Dane County. Against the Dane County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.6/10. Court records carry 164 eviction filings across 13 observed years. The worst year on record was 2008, when 1.2% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 0.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.