Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Cesar E. Chavez Drive Eviction Risk: Moderate , Milwaukee

Tract 55079016200 · Milwaukee County, WI · pop 4,278 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 55079016200 in the Cesar E. Chavez Drive area of Milwaukee, WI reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,278 residents. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 27% Owners 38%

Tract context

Occupied units1,223

Renter share62.6%

SVI overall0.93

Poverty rate29.5%

Median income$41,213

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Milwaukee and the region

Centroid at 43.0166, -87.9475 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cesar E. Chavez Drive scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Milwaukee

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.0

State political climate

Wisconsin legislature & governorship

2.9

Economic stress

29.5% poverty · this tract

7.4

Supply constraint

$929 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Milwaukee

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Milwaukee

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Milwaukee

5.5

How Cesar E. Chavez Drive compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

92%Socioeconomic
82%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
86%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
72%Grade C
28%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

509Total filings over 13 yrs
6.71%Avg annual filing rate
8.3%Peak (2003)
45Filings in 2017 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2003 to 2017

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

140Total filings 2020-21
1.8Avg monthly (observed)
3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.58×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Milwaukee, WI as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cesar E. Chavez Drive. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

25.2%Housing insecurity
13.3%Utility-shutoff threat
36.6%Food insecurity
35.8%SNAP enrollment
16.9%Transit barriers
29.4%No health insurance
18.1%Frequent mental distress
41.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cesar E. Chavez Drive

Adults with no health insurance runs 29.4% against 11.3% nationally. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Milwaukee County average of 45.8%. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.1/10.

The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.

It sits 1.3 points above the Milwaukee County average of 4.5. Housing insecurity runs 25.2% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 509 filings here across 13 tracked years. At $929 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Milwaukee commands. The worst year on record was 2003, when 8.3% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 6.7% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 55079016200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 55079016200?

Census tract 55079016200 in the Cesar E. Chavez Drive neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 55079016200?

Median gross rent is $929/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 55079016200?

29.5% of residents in tract 55079016200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,278.

How socially vulnerable is tract 55079016200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 82th, minority 83th, housing 86th.

Is tract 55079016200 considered part of Cesar E. Chavez Drive?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 55079016200 fall within Cesar E. Chavez Drive (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 55079016200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 509 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 55079016200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.71% of renter households, peaking at 8.3% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 55079016200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.58× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Milwaukee eviction risk, WI), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 55079016200 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 55079016200 compare to Milwaukee overall?

Tract 55079016200 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Milwaukee at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milwaukee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 55079016200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 28% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Milwaukee

Top eight tracts in Milwaukee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org