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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Avondale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Birmingham

Tract 01073002402 · Jefferson County, AL · pop 1,456 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

The Avondale neighborhood of Birmingham is where census tract 01073002402 sits, home to 1,456 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.5/10. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 36% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $544 monthly, set against $32,972 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 77% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 49% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units301
Renter share76.7%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate61.3%
Median income$32,972

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Avondale
Very High
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 71 tracts In Birmingham
Elevated
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 189 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#96 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Birmingham and the region

Centroid at 33.5299, -86.7866 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avondale scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Birmingham
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
61.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$544 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Birmingham
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Birmingham
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Birmingham
3.0

How Avondale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avondale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 002402Birmingham: 2.92.9Birminghamparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Avondale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avondale

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Birmingham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 5.3 and above the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 38.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 33.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 01073002402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01073002402?

Census tract 01073002402 in the Avondale neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 01073002402?

Median gross rent is $544/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 01073002402?

61.3% of residents in tract 01073002402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,456.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 01073002402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 83th, minority 95th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 01073002402 considered part of Avondale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01073002402 fall within Avondale (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 01073002402 struggle to pay rent?

About 38.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 33.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 01073002402 compare to Birmingham overall?

Tract 01073002402 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Birmingham at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Birmingham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 01073002402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 35% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Birmingham

Top eight tracts in Birmingham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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