Village West Eviction Risk: Moderate , Montgomery

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.7/10.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $38,610, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10. Housing insecurity runs 29.7% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

It sits 1.0 points above the Montgomery County average of 4.0. Court records carry 437 eviction filings across 9 observed years. The worst year on record was 2002, when 27.9% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 11.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.