1 census tracts · pop 2,384 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10
· range 3.5–3.5
Elk Run is a one-tract neighborhood of Flagstaff, AZ, population 2,384. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.5/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Average gross rent is $2,588, 57% above the Flagstaff average of $1,645.
The voucher gap is 33.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 8.3/10.
43% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, ahead of the Flagstaff rate of 34.6%. The severe-burden share is 18%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 3/10.
Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 3/10. Among the 17 mapped neighborhoods of Flagstaff, it ranks #13 by risk, the lower third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Amberwood and Hospital Hill.
30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Elk Run vs FlagstaffHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority15%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Elk Run
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
7.6%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility shutoff threat
10.2%Food insecurity
8.3%SNAP enrollment
7.0%No health insurance
28.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Elk Run
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Elk Run?
Elk Run scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Elk Run compare to Flagstaff overall?
Elk Run scores 1.0 points lower than Flagstaff overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $2,588 vs $1,645.
Q3
What is the average rent in Elk Run?
Average gross rent in Elk Run is $2,588/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Elk Run residents are renters?
30% of Elk Run households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Flagstaff). The neighborhood has 2,384 residents.
Q5
Is Elk Run a high social-vulnerability area?
Elk Run sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Elk Run for landlords?
Elk Run carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Flagstaff as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Elk Run?
Elk Run has 2,265 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (88.6%), Hispanic / Latino (5.6%), Other / Multiracial (4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods
Other neighborhoods inside Flagstaff
Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Elk Run.
