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Neighborhood · Flagstaff, AZ

Ponderosa Trails Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,738 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3.1–3.1

Ponderosa Trails is a one-tract neighborhood of Flagstaff, AZ and houses 4,738 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.1/10, in the Lower tier. about half of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Flagstaff rate of 34.6%.

21% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 2/10. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 3/10.

SNAP participation is 5.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 8.4% of adults, 9.4 points below the national rate. Average gross rent is $1,766, 7% above the Flagstaff average of $1,645.

Among the 17 mapped neighborhoods of Flagstaff, it ranks #16 by risk, the lower third. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $103,805. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3.1/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Ponderosa Trails vs Flagstaff How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.4% +40%
Flagstaff: 34.6%
Average gross rent
$1,766 +7%
Flagstaff: $1,645
Average HH income
$103,805 +53%
Flagstaff: $68,041
Poverty rate
8.0% -59%
Flagstaff: 19.4%
Renter share
41.1% -29%
Flagstaff: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ponderosa Trails and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.1–3.1

Why Ponderosa Trails scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
8.0% below poverty line · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Risk score comparison

Ponderosa Trails vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Ponderosa Trails score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Ponderosa Trails: 3.13.1Ponderosa TrailsNeighborhoodParent city: 4.54.5Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Ponderosa Trails

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04005000901 3.1 4,738 48% $1,766
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 16

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 6%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 53%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 23%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ponderosa Trails

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Ponderosa Trails

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Ponderosa Trails?

Ponderosa Trails scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Ponderosa Trails compare to Flagstaff overall?

Ponderosa Trails scores 1.4 points lower than Flagstaff overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,766 vs $1,645.
Q3

What is the average rent in Ponderosa Trails?

Average gross rent in Ponderosa Trails is $1,766/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Ponderosa Trails residents are renters?

41% of Ponderosa Trails households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Flagstaff). The neighborhood has 4,738 residents.
Q5

Is Ponderosa Trails a high social-vulnerability area?

Ponderosa Trails sits in the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Ponderosa Trails for landlords?

Ponderosa Trails carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Flagstaff as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Ponderosa Trails?

Ponderosa Trails has 5,009 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.1%), Hispanic / Latino (23.8%), Other / Multiracial (13.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Flagstaff

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ponderosa Trails.

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