Skip to content
Neighborhood · Flagstaff, AZ

Ponderosa Trails Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,738 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3.1–3.1

Ponderosa Trails is a one-tract neighborhood of Flagstaff, AZ and houses 4,738 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.1/10, in the Lower tier. about half of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Flagstaff rate of 34.6%.

21% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 2/10. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 3/10.

SNAP participation is 5.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 8.4% of adults, 9.4 points below the national rate. Average gross rent is $1,766, 7% above the Flagstaff average of $1,645.

Among the 17 mapped neighborhoods of Flagstaff, it ranks #16 by risk, the lower third. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $103,805. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 3.1/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Ponderosa Trails vs Flagstaff How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.4% +40%
Flagstaff: 34.6%
Average gross rent
$1,766 +7%
Flagstaff: $1,645
Average HH income
$103,805 +53%
Flagstaff: $68,041
Poverty rate
8.0% -59%
Flagstaff: 19.4%
Renter share
41.1% -29%
Flagstaff: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ponderosa Trails and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.1–3.1

Why Ponderosa Trails scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
8.0% below poverty line · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Risk score comparison

Ponderosa Trails vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Ponderosa Trails score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.1Ponderosa TrailsNeighborhood4.5Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Ponderosa Trails

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
04005000901 3.1 4,738 48% $1,766
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 16

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 6%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 53%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 23%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ponderosa Trails

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Ponderosa Trails

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Ponderosa Trails?

Ponderosa Trails scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Ponderosa Trails compare to Flagstaff overall?

Ponderosa Trails scores 1.4 points lower than Flagstaff overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,766 vs $1,645.
Q3

What is the average rent in Ponderosa Trails?

Average gross rent in Ponderosa Trails is $1,766/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Ponderosa Trails residents are renters?

41% of Ponderosa Trails households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Flagstaff). The neighborhood has 4,738 residents.
Q5

Is Ponderosa Trails a high social-vulnerability area?

Ponderosa Trails sits in the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Ponderosa Trails for landlords?

Ponderosa Trails carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Flagstaff as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Ponderosa Trails?

Ponderosa Trails has 5,009 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.1%), Hispanic / Latino (23.8%), Other / Multiracial (13.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Flagstaff

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ponderosa Trails.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further