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Tonalea, Arizona eviction risk overview
City brief · 205 residents

Tonalea, AZ Eviction Risk: VERY LOW

Coconino County · Population 205

In 2026
Risk score
2.1
VERY LOW

9th percentile, Arizona.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.3 Average1.8 Now2.1
2.8 1.3 1976 · score 1.9 1977 · score 1.8 1978 · score 1.7 1979 · score 1.7 1980 · score 1.7 1981 · score 1.4 1982 · score 1.6 1983 · score 1.5 1984 · score 1.3 1985 · score 1.4 1986 · score 1.4 1987 · score 1.4 1988 · score 1.5 1989 · score 1.4 1990 · score 1.5 1991 · score 1.5 1992 · score 1.8 1993 · score 1.7 1994 · score 1.7 1995 · score 1.7 1996 · score 1.9 1997 · score 1.9 1998 · score 1.9 1999 · score 1.9 2000 · score 1.8 2001 · score 1.8 2002 · score 1.9 2003 · score 1.8 2004 · score 1.7 2005 · score 1.6 2006 · score 1.6 2007 · score 1.5 2008 · score 1.8 2009 · score 2.0 2010 · score 2.1 2011 · score 2.1 2012 · score 2.0 2013 · score 1.9 2014 · score 1.9 2015 · score 1.9 2016 · score 2.1 2017 · score 2.1 2018 · score 2.1 2019 · score 2.1 2020 · score 2.6 2021 · score 2.8 2022 · score 2.3 2023 · score 2.4 2024 · score 2.1 2025 · score 2.1 2026 · score 2.1

Key metrics

Estimated values: The U.S. Census suppresses field-level data for small places. Estimated from county average, pop-weighted from real underlying ACS data.
Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 6.6 Regional 6.6 State 2.2 Economic 5.4 Supply 7.4 Rent Control 2.1 Eviction 1.7 Tenant 9.5 Housing 6.0 2.1 VERY LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +19.9% (2024)
    6.6
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    6.6
  3. State political climate
    Arizona legislature & governorship
    2.2
  4. Economic stress
    57.1% poverty · 6.4% unemp.
    5.4
  5. Supply constraint
    $763 average · 47.8% renters
    7.4
  6. Rent Control risk
    18.1% of income on rent
    2.1
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    37 days filing → judgment
    1.7
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    47.8% renters
    9.5
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    6.0
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tonalea and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Tonalea compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Coconino County
Very Low
#31 of 33 cities
Rank in county, 6th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 33 cities in Coconino County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Arizona
Very Low
#446 of 464 cities
Rank in state, 4th percentileLowHigh
#446 of 464 cities in Arizona for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Tonalea risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Tonalea: 2.12.1TonaleaThis cityCounty: 3.03.0Countyavg in countyState: 2.72.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.1
    / 10 · VERY LOW
    The verdict

    A Very low-tier market.

    Composite 2.1/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+0.2 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 37d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $763/mo. A contested eviction takes 37 days and costs $1,758–$5,045 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 47.8%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 205 residents, 47.8% rent. 18% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 57.1% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 6.6
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 6.6 and 6.6 (Dem margin +19.9% (2024)). State climate at 2.2, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 2.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 2.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.7, housing court bias 6, rent-control risk 2.1. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.3 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.4
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.4. Supply constraint: 7.4. The numbers behind those: 57.1% poverty, 6.4% unemployment, 18% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Tonalea sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Tucson, AZ · 43d · ~$3.3k all-in ($78/day) · score 3.2 Tucson Mesa, AZ · 38d · ~$3.1k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.8 Mesa Gilbert, AZ · 37d · ~$3.6k all-in ($97/day) · score 2.4 Gilbert Chandler, AZ · 40d · ~$3.1k all-in ($78/day) · score 2.5 Chandler Glendale, AZ · 42d · ~$3.0k all-in ($72/day) · score 2.9 Glendale Scottsdale, AZ · 37d · ~$3.3k all-in ($88/day) · score 2.3 Scottsdale Peoria, AZ · 37d · ~$3.3k all-in ($90/day) · score 2.4 Peoria Tempe, AZ · 37d · ~$3.0k all-in ($81/day) · score 3.1 Tempe Surprise, AZ · 41d · ~$2.7k all-in ($67/day) · score 2.4 Surprise Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Tonalea
Tonalea · 37d · ~$3.4k all-in ($92/day) · score 2.1 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Tonalea, AZ

Landlording in Tonalea, Arizona, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.1/10 (VERY LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Tonalea is a city of 205 residents where 47.8% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 18.1% of income on rent. At an average rent of $763/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Tonalea eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.7/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Tonalea closes 37 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Tonalea's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 6/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Tonalea runs $1,758 to $5,045 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 37 days of typical timeline and $763/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 9.5/10 in Tonalea, and the city has limited rent control exposure (2.1/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Arizona, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Tonalea: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Arizona's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $5,045 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Tonalea

Trap · 47.8%
47.8% renter share against 205 residents produces roughly 98 rental occupants in Tonalea. Coconino County voted D 24.1% in 2020. Eviction filings tend to cluster in the multifamily rental corridor.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What is the biggest risk for landlords in Tonalea?

The biggest risk is the combination of high tenant organizing strength (9.5/10) and housing-court bias (6/10). This means tenants are more likely to know their rights and potentially challenge evictions, and courts may lean slightly in their favor. Precision in your paperwork and process is critical.

Q2

Can I charge late fees in Tonalea?

Yes, you can charge reasonable late fees as outlined in your lease agreement. Arizona law does not specify a maximum late fee, but courts generally consider 5-10% of the monthly rent to be reasonable. Make sure it's clearly stated in your lease.

Q3

Do I need a lawyer for every eviction in Tonalea?

While not legally required for every case, it's highly recommended, especially if the tenant contests the eviction or if you're new to the process. Given the moderate eviction risk and potential for tenant challenges, an attorney can save you significant time and money by ensuring proper procedure. See our Arizona eviction risk overview for more on state-level considerations.

Q4

What if my tenant damages the property beyond the security deposit?

If the damages exceed the security deposit, you can sue the tenant in small claims court for the additional amount. Keep detailed records, photos, and receipts for all repair costs. However, collecting on such a judgment can be difficult if the tenant has no assets or moves out of state.

Q5

Are there rent control laws in Tonalea or Arizona?

No, Arizona has a statewide preemption against rent control. This means no city or county in Arizona, including Tonalea, can implement rent control measures. You are generally free to set market rates for rent. For more details, consult our Arizona rent control rules page.

Q6

How quickly can I remove a tenant who breaks lease rules, not just non-payment?

For material non-compliance with the lease (e.g., unauthorized pets, property damage), Arizona law typically requires a 10-day notice to cure the breach or vacate. If the breach is not cured within 10 days, you can then file for eviction. For repeated or irreparable breaches, the notice period might be shorter or not allow for a cure. Always refer to A.R.S. § 33-1368 for specific notice requirements. You can also explore Arizona tenant protections for other related issues.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.1/10 places Tonalea in the 9th percentile of Arizona cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.