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Tonto Basin, Arizona eviction risk overview
City brief · 1,750 residents

Tonto Basin, AZ Eviction Risk: VERY LOW

Gila County · Population 1,750

In 2026
Risk score
2.3
VERY LOW

24th percentile, Arizona.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.4 Average2.0 Now2.3
3.1 1.4 1976 · score 1.9 1977 · score 1.8 1978 · score 1.7 1979 · score 1.7 1980 · score 1.8 1981 · score 1.5 1982 · score 1.7 1983 · score 1.6 1984 · score 1.4 1985 · score 1.5 1986 · score 1.5 1987 · score 1.5 1988 · score 1.5 1989 · score 1.4 1990 · score 1.5 1991 · score 1.5 1992 · score 1.8 1993 · score 1.7 1994 · score 1.7 1995 · score 1.7 1996 · score 1.9 1997 · score 1.8 1998 · score 1.8 1999 · score 1.9 2000 · score 1.9 2001 · score 2.0 2002 · score 2.0 2003 · score 2.0 2004 · score 1.9 2005 · score 1.9 2006 · score 1.9 2007 · score 1.9 2008 · score 2.1 2009 · score 2.3 2010 · score 2.4 2011 · score 2.4 2012 · score 2.3 2013 · score 2.2 2014 · score 2.2 2015 · score 2.2 2016 · score 2.4 2017 · score 2.4 2018 · score 2.4 2019 · score 2.5 2020 · score 2.9 2021 · score 3.1 2022 · score 2.6 2023 · score 2.6 2024 · score 2.4 2025 · score 2.4 2026 · score 2.3

Key metrics

Estimated values: The U.S. Census suppresses field-level data for small places. Estimated from constituent census tracts, pop-weighted from real underlying ACS data.
Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.0 Regional 4.0 State 2.2 Economic 4.3 Supply 3.1 Rent Control 1.1 Eviction 1.9 Tenant 3.1 Housing 2.3 2.3 VERY LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +37.6% (2024)
    4.0
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.0
  3. State political climate
    Arizona legislature & governorship
    2.2
  4. Economic stress
    18.0% poverty · 8.3% unemp.
    4.3
  5. Supply constraint
    $436 average · 9.2% renters
    3.1
  6. Rent Control risk
    36.4% of income on rent
    1.1
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    38 days filing → judgment
    1.9
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    9.2% renters
    3.1
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    2.3
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tonto Basin and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Tonto Basin compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Gila County
Low
#48 of 60 cities
Rank in county, 20th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 60 cities in Gila County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Arizona
Very Low
#385 of 464 cities
Rank in state, 17th percentileLowHigh
#385 of 464 cities in Arizona for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Tonto Basin risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Tonto Basin: 2.32.3Tonto BasinThis cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg in countyState: 2.72.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.3
    / 10 · VERY LOW
    The verdict

    A Very low-tier market.

    Composite 2.3/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+0.4 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 38d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $436/mo. A contested eviction takes 38 days and costs $1,903–$4,578 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 9.2%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 1,750 residents, 9.2% rent. 36% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 18.0% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Light-statute interior market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4 and 4 (GOP margin +37.6% (2024)). State climate at 2.2, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 2.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 2.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.9, housing court bias 2.3, rent-control risk 1.1. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.1 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.3
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.3. Supply constraint: 3.1. The numbers behind those: 18.0% poverty, 8.3% unemployment, 36% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Tonto Basin sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Mesa, AZ · 38d · ~$3.1k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.8 Mesa Gilbert, AZ · 37d · ~$3.6k all-in ($97/day) · score 2.4 Gilbert Chandler, AZ · 40d · ~$3.1k all-in ($78/day) · score 2.5 Chandler Scottsdale, AZ · 37d · ~$3.3k all-in ($88/day) · score 2.3 Scottsdale Tempe, AZ · 37d · ~$3.0k all-in ($81/day) · score 3.1 Tempe San Tan Valley, AZ · 42d · ~$2.9k all-in ($70/day) · score 2.6 San Tan Valley Queen Creek, AZ · 41d · ~$2.9k all-in ($71/day) · score 2.5 Queen Creek Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Tucson, AZ · 43d · ~$3.3k all-in ($78/day) · score 3.2 Tucson Glendale, AZ · 42d · ~$3.0k all-in ($72/day) · score 2.9 Glendale Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Tonto Basin
Tonto Basin · 38d · ~$3.2k all-in ($85/day) · score 2.3 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Tonto Basin, AZ

Landlording in Tonto Basin, Arizona, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.3/10 (VERY LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Tonto Basin is a city of 1,750 residents where 9.2% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 36.4% of income on rent. At an average rent of $436/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Tonto Basin eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.9/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Tonto Basin closes 38 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Tonto Basin's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 2.3/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Tonto Basin runs $1,903 to $4,578 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 38 days of typical timeline and $436/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 3.1/10 in Tonto Basin, and the city has limited rent control exposure (1.1/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Arizona, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Tonto Basin: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Arizona's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $4,578 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Tonto Basin

Trap · ARIZONA
For state-level context, see the Arizona overview link in the guides section below. The score combines political climate, rent-to-income ratio, court bias, and tenant organizing strength under ARLTA ARS 33.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What if my Tonto Basin tenant pays part of the rent after I give them a 5-day notice?

This is tricky. If you accept a partial payment, you might inadvertently waive your right to evict based on that specific 5-day notice. If you want to accept partial payment but still proceed with eviction for the remaining balance, you MUST have a written agreement with the tenant stating that accepting the partial payment does not waive your right to pursue eviction. Otherwise, you may need to issue a new 5-day notice for the remaining balance, which restarts the clock.

Q2

Can I turn off utilities if my tenant stops paying rent in Tonto Basin?

Absolutely not. Turning off utilities, changing locks, or removing a tenant's belongings are illegal "self-help" eviction tactics in Arizona. You must follow the legal eviction process through the courts. If you attempt self-help eviction, you could face significant penalties, including paying the tenant damages and attorney fees.

Q3

How long does a tenant have to move out after a judge grants an eviction in Tonto Basin?

After a judge grants a Judgment for Possession, there's typically a grace period of 5 calendar days before you can request a Writ of Restitution. Once the Writ is issued and given to the Gila County Sheriff, the Sheriff will schedule the physical lockout. The exact timing can vary slightly depending on the Sheriff's schedule, but it's generally a swift process after the 5-day period.

Q4

Is there rent control in Tonto Basin or Arizona?

No, there is no statewide rent control in Arizona, and no local rent control ordinances in Tonto Basin. State law generally prohibits municipalities from enacting rent control measures. This means you have flexibility in setting and adjusting rents, though you must still provide proper notice for any rent increases as specified in your lease or by state law. Learn more about Arizona tenant protections.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.3/10 places Tonto Basin in the 24th percentile of Arizona cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.