Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
McQueen Eviction Risk: Lower , Mesa
Tract 04013422307 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,365 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 04013422307 sits in the McQueen area of Gilbert eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.2/10. Population here is 4,365. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,781
Renter share51.7%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$78,472
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.3655, -111.8262 · click any tract to drill in
Why McQueen scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,369 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.0
How McQueen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 375Total filings over 5 yrs
- 8.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.6%Peak (2004)
- 102Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 62% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within McQueen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.6%Food insecurity
- 7.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 24.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McQueen
Average gross rent is $1,369, 35% below the Gilbert average. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 375 evictions over 5 years of observation. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened.
SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2004, when 11.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422307
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422307?
Census tract 04013422307 in the McQueen neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422307?
Median gross rent is $1,369/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422307?
8.6% of residents in tract 04013422307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,365.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422307?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 7th, minority 59th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422307 considered part of McQueen?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422307 fall within McQueen (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422307?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 375 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422307 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.39% of renter households, peaking at 11.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422307 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422307 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422307 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
The Bridges at Gilbert
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Gilbert Ranch
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013422305
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Sunview
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Gilbert Ranch
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04013815602
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Stonebridge Lakes Manor
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Higley Park
3
/ 10 · Low
Related