Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
McQueen Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mesa
Tract 04013422002 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,287 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 04013422002 in the McQueen area of Mesa, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,287. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,311
Renter share61.6%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$51,908
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mesa and the region
Centroid at 33.3970, -111.8314 · click any tract to drill in
Why McQueen scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mesa
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,244 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mesa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mesa
2.5
How McQueen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,054Total filings over 5 yrs
- 25.72%Avg annual filing rate
- 35.0%Peak (2005)
- 267Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within McQueen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.1%Housing insecurity
- 13.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.7%Food insecurity
- 26.6%SNAP enrollment
- 17.1%Transit barriers
- 27.8%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 38.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McQueen
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
Food insecurity runs 34.7% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 27.8% against 11.3% nationally. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.
Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
At $1,244 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Mesa commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,054 filings here across 5 tracked years.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. The worst year on record was 2005, when 35.0% of renter households were served.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013422002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013422002?
Census tract 04013422002 in the McQueen neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013422002?
Median gross rent is $1,244/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013422002?
25.4% of residents in tract 04013422002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,287.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013422002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 51th, minority 83th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 04013422002 considered part of McQueen?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013422002 fall within McQueen (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013422002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,054 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013422002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.72% of renter households, peaking at 35.0% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013422002 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013422002 compare to Mesa overall?
Tract 04013422002 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Mesa at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mesa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mesa
Top eight tracts in Mesa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04013421902
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013522802
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422001
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013422102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013941300
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Dobson Shores
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013421302
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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