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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Tempe Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013319710 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,337 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

04013319710 is a census tract in the Tempe Junction area of Tempe, AZ. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,337. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 41% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units1,109
Renter share81.6%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate29.7%
Median income$72,282

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 9 tracts In Tempe Junction
Moderate
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 41 tracts In Tempe
High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tempe and the region

Centroid at 33.4184, -111.9679 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tempe Junction scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tempe
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
29.7% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$1,740 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tempe
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tempe
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tempe
4.5

How Tempe Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tempe Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 319710Tempe: 4.24.2Tempeparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tempe Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tempe Junction

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. 82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.

The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10.

Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

49% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,740, close to the Tempe average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $72,282.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013319710

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013319710?

Census tract 04013319710 in the Tempe Junction neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013319710?

Median gross rent is $1,740/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013319710?

29.7% of residents in tract 04013319710 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,337.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013319710?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 46th, minority 72th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 04013319710 considered part of Tempe Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013319710 fall within Tempe Junction (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013319710 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013319710 compare to Tempe overall?

Tract 04013319710 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tempe

Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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